KTXS Forecast: Temperatures increase as wind speeds decrease


ABILENE, Texas - Warmer weather continues through Thursday before our next weather system arrives to bring cooler and wetter weather back to the Big Country.

For today, look for mostly sunny skies and warmer weather across the Big Country. High temperatures should peak in the middle to even upper 70s this afternoon. We will start out with a breezy southwest wind at 15 to 25 mph. Wind speeds will slow by noon to 5 to 10 mph and become northwesterly by the evening.

The relief from the breezy wind will not last long as we have a southerly wind return overnight. Speeds will increase to 10 to 15 mph by sunrise Wednesday. Partly cloudy skies will also build in tonight with overnight lows only cooling to the middle and upper 40s with a few spots in the lower 50s.

That breezy southwest wind will continue on Wednesday and Thursday with speeds ranging between 10 and 20 mph.

Mid to upper 70s will also return along with mostly sunny skies through Thursday before we begin to see our next weather system.

As we reach Friday, we will be tracking a weak cold front carrying with it a shallow layer of arctic air. Current forecast guidance is showing this front stalling out along I-20 by the afternoon. This will cause a wide range of temperatures with 30s to the north and near 70 degree readings in our southern most areas.

We are still a few days out from this event and tweaks to the forecast will be made. Knowing where that front stalls out will be key to where the colder weather sets up across the area.

That colder air could cause some subtle changes to a wintry mix as temperatures drop to near freezing overnight Friday night and Saturday night. Right now, we have our far north Big Country counties seeing that chance.

That front will be just one part of our weekend forecast. As that front stalls out, an upper level low will dive into the Desert Southwest. This upper level low will bring additional moisture to the area. The stalled out front will create a focus point for moderate to heavy rainfall.

So as we look at this weekend as a whole, we are confident in a cooler and wetter trend ahead. Forecast guidance still remains uncertain on where the front stalls out. That along with the track of the upper level low which also differs between the main mid-range models, will be key to see if a chance for some wintry precip, location mentioned above, will be possible.

For now, please make sure to check back daily for updates to the forecast as we get closer to time.

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