KTXS Forecast: Warming trend continues
ABILENE, Texas - Warmer weather will continue to work back into the Big Country for the next few days until the next weather system approaches at the end of the week.
For today, we are tracking mostly sunny skies and warmer weather. We will start out chilly but temperatures should peak in the middle to upper 60s. Some locations may briefly reach the lower 70s. South-southwest winds will be breezy at 15 to 20 mph with gusts up 25 possible.
Tonight, breezy conditions will continue with southwesterly winds at 15 to 25 mph. This will help overnight lows remain mild as we only reach the upper 40s and lower 50s under mostly clear skies.
A weak cold front will make an attempt to move into North Texas but the low pressure system associated with the cold front is displaced too far to the northeast for it to drift into the Big Country.
The front will have some affect on our weather. Breezy winds today, will slow and become westerly briefly on Tuesday. As the front stalls and then begins to retreat to the northeast, wind speeds will pick back up to 15 to 25 mph out of south-southwest on Wednesday.
We are expecting mostly sunny skies to remain in effect Tuesday through Thursday of this week with high temperatures reaching the 70s.
Once we get to Friday, we are carefully watching our next weather system digging into the Desert Southwest. At this time, the overall consensus of cooler and wetter weather is looking likely. However, the timing and placement of this system is still not in agreement with the main mid-range forecast models.
That timing is creating two different scenarios regarding Friday night and Saturday night where temperatures will hover at or possibly below freezing across the Big Country.
Recent trends have shown a slightly warmer forecast for the overnight hours but confidence is not high enough to go for that route just yet.
For now, confidence is high regarding good rain chances over this weekend with cooler temperatures.
The timing of when the cooler air will arrive is still off by nearly 18 hours between different forecast solutions. I am leaning more towards the slower solution meaning that it may arrive on Saturday.
Again, wintry precipitation is not out of the question but isn't a solid contender. If it does become a part of the forecast, it may become isolated to the northern half of the Big Country.
This forecast is constantly evolving so please make sure to check back with the KTXS Storm Alert Team for the latest updates to the forecast.